{"id":41541,"date":"2021-05-06T18:33:49","date_gmt":"2021-05-06T10:33:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/?p=41541"},"modified":"2021-05-17T17:43:06","modified_gmt":"2021-05-17T09:43:06","slug":"network-analysis-and-price-trend-movement-prediction-of-the-cryptocurrency-market-a-preliminary-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/network-analysis-and-price-trend-movement-prediction-of-the-cryptocurrency-market-a-preliminary-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"41541\" class=\"elementor elementor-41541\" data-elementor-settings=\"[]\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-section-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-08fe32d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"08fe32d\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-464c7f5\" data-id=\"464c7f5\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-99c3c7d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"99c3c7d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\"><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>6 May 2021<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Deep Learning and Cognitive Computing Centre (DLC<sup>3<\/sup>) conducted a research seminar on 6 May 2021. Dr Roy Ho elaborated a social network analysis with centrality measures, using historical daily close prices of the top 120 cryptocurrencies between 2013 and 2021, to study and understand the dynamic evolution and characteristics of the cryptocurrency market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2ba495e elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"2ba495e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-1.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study \" data-elementor-lightbox-description=\"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study \">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img width=\"600\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-1-1140x853.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-1-1140x853.jpg 1140w, https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-1-768x575.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-1-360x270.jpg 360w, https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-1.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-98742f9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"98742f9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\"><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The study had three preliminary findings: (1) the overall cross-return correlation among the cryptocurrencies was weakened from 2013 to mid-2016 and then strengthened thereafter; (2) cryptocurrencies that were primarily used for transaction payment, notably Bitcoin (BTC), dominated the market until mid-2016, followed by those developed for data storage and recording applications, such as MaidSafeCoin (MAID) and Factom (FCT), between mid-2016 and mid-2017. Since then, Ethereum (ETH), alongside with its strongly correlated cryptocurrencies replaced BTC to become the benchmark cryptocurrencies. Furthermore, during the outbreak of COVID-19, QTUM, Binance Coin (BNB) and other cryptocurrencies intermittently replaced ETH to take the leading positions during the pandemic; and (3) centrality measures could be served as a useful feature in improving the prediction accuracy of the short-term cryptocurrency price trend movement.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cbe960f elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"cbe960f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-2.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study \" data-elementor-lightbox-description=\"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study \">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img width=\"600\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-2-1140x853.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"Network Analysis and Price Trend Movement Prediction of the Cryptocurrency Market: A Preliminary Study\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-2-1140x853.jpg 1140w, https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-2-768x575.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-2-360x270.jpg 360w, https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Photo-2.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"6 May 2021 The Deep Learning and Cognitive Computing Centre (DLC3) conducted a research seminar on 6 May 2021. Dr Roy Ho elaborated a social network analysis with centrality measures, using historical daily close prices of the top 120 cryptocurrencies between 2013 and 2021, to study and understand the dynamic evolution and characteristics of the [&hellip;]","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":41544,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[219,10],"tags":[],"topics":[],"month":[351],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41541"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41541"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41541\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41553,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41541\/revisions\/41553"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41544"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41541"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41541"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41541"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=41541"},{"taxonomy":"month","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu.edu.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/month?post=41541"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}